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← Mistake ClinicFree companion · 15 minute suggested activity

The model knows the future

Mistake Clinic · Inspect the reasoning before opening the diagnosis.

Learn → Try → ExplainReviewed 2026-10-15
01

The questionable claim

A churn predictor includes account_closed_date while predicting churn before closure.

02

Investigate

Identify the unit of analysis, denominator, population or information boundary. What extra evidence would be needed? Write a corrected statement first.

Diagnosis and repair

The feature is not available at prediction time and leaks the outcome. Define the decision timestamp, remove unavailable information, split by appropriate time/entity and compare against a simple baseline.

04

Prevention

Add a test or review question that catches the error before publication. Save the original and corrected explanation so your reasoning is auditable.

Make the reasoning yours.

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